Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 2.038082 2.353481 2.700039 3.108895 3.577902 4.098936 4.721573
2025-04-06 1.603817 2.017230 2.509858 3.139445 3.922104 4.862531 6.078037
2025-04-13 1.227847 1.665036 2.224452 2.991267 4.013725 5.328887 7.148192
2025-04-20 1.046616 1.517533 2.159420 3.095557 4.423374 6.236655 8.898873
2025-04-27 0.925227 1.425068 2.146283 3.258359 4.925494 7.327087 11.045028
2025-05-04 0.806791 1.313554 2.083913 3.333856 5.304683 8.285097 13.126555
2025-05-11 0.703561 1.205848 2.007100 3.369692 5.620197 9.178613 15.219271
2025-05-18 0.595644 1.071486 1.865739 3.277304 5.712226 9.725803 16.824729
2025-05-25 0.496714 0.935369 1.699564 3.115347 5.659424 10.019912 18.034954
2025-06-01 0.439212 0.863022 1.631260 3.110399 5.870644 10.775121 20.115241
2025-06-08 0.382911 0.783698 1.538333 3.045722 5.961842 11.323924 21.885204
2025-06-15 0.364595 0.774666 1.574147 3.225814 6.527945 12.792584 25.515865
2025-06-22 0.337898 0.746174 1.571203 3.335669 6.984427 14.131777 29.110329
2025-06-29 0.304238 0.697939 1.522147 3.345990 7.244821 15.125726 32.157285
2025-07-06 0.259151 0.617671 1.395286 3.175725 7.110014 15.315499 33.599669
2025-07-13 0.242207 0.597980 1.395193 3.278603 7.568869 16.776985 37.877757
2025-07-20 0.231523 0.591163 1.422487 3.446013 8.190683 18.655145 43.280289
2025-07-27 0.215519 0.568911 1.411253 3.522864 8.617039 20.157093 48.030851
2025-08-03 0.198652 0.541764 1.384544 3.558956 8.952449 21.493473 52.564005
2025-08-10 0.176182 0.496484 1.307312 3.460518 8.951999 22.058051 55.361944
2025-08-17 0.152865 0.445013 1.207006 3.289174 8.747503 22.114009 56.939550
2025-08-24 0.140130 0.420558 1.172718 3.283627 8.961085 23.201579 61.177729
2025-08-31 0.126038 0.389931 1.117728 3.215247 9.002325 23.867240 64.433617